Superbowl Patriots V Giants

Well its finally here and Tom Brady and the Patriots will be looking to revenge their 2008 defeat to Eli and the Giants, however despite the odds this is no forgone conclusion.

The NY Giants had to wait till the last game of the season to clinch the NFC East with a far from impressive 9-7 record. They had an up and down regular season which included a good win at the Patriots on one hand and two losses to the Redskins on the other. Eli Manning who has been in big brothers shadow somewhat had a pretty impressive season racking up 4933 regular season yards and 29 TDs helping the Giants to the no 5 r passing ranking. However that ended 32nd rushing and defensively they struggled against the pass and were at best mediocre against the run; so much for defense winning championships.

Their opponents from the AFC East New England had a much more impressive season finishing 13-3 thanks to a run of 8 wins to close the season out. Tom Brady who is appearing in his 5 Superbowl had a great season racking up 5,235 yards passing and scoring 39 TDs, helped in no small part by TE Rob Gronkowski who picked up 17 in the regular season. He is listed as questionable however he will almost certainly play.  The Patriots were ranked no 2 In passing and 20th rushing, however like the giants they struggled defensively ranking 31st against the pass.

Given their passing prowess and leaky defenses we should be in for a lively game tonight and 800 yards of combined offense looks a strong possibility which should keep the neutrals happy, but the big question is who will win.

Well overall we have to give the Patriots the edge if  Gronkowski is fit and although both head coaches are master tacticians this could easily come down to who makes the fewest mistakes, and here Tom Brady’s experience comes into play.

Our prediction is New England 31 New York Giants 24.

 

 

NFL 2011 Divisional Playoff Games

After last weeks surprise result in Denver the question is will the Divisional games go to form or will there be more surprises? Our view is that the shocks are over and we expect our pre season predictions to pretty much come true.

Our pre-season Divisional game predictions which can be seen here were were:

Green Bay Packers v Atlanta Falcons

New Orleans Saints v Philadelphia Eagles

These leading to a Packers - Saints NFC Conference final. We have no reason to change our predictions for the NFC and although the 49ers will be tough to beat in our opinion the Saints are just too good offensively and they will win a fairly low scoring game (by their standards) and in doing so wijn their first ever road playoff game.

Green Bay should get revenge for their post season loss to the Giants in 2007  and we really can’t see how the Giants can win this one as the Packers are better in all areas, and barring a major colapse or a spate of injuries they should be taking on the Saints in a weeks time.

In The AFC we predicted the divisional games to end up:

NY Jets at New England Patriots

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens

This leading to a Ravens @ Patriots AFC Championship game. Again we see no reason to change our predictions and think that Denver will not get lucky twice in the post season, while Houston wont be able to run the ball against the Ravens well enough to trouble them.

So overall our Divisional tips are

Green Bay 31 Ny Giants 20

New Orleans 27 San Francisco 13

New England 34 Denver 14

Baltimore 21 Houston 13

 

Colts Ending Season well with Second Consecutive Win

The Indianapolis Colts who have been missing their Star QB Peytomn Manning badly in 2011 finally gave their long suffering fans some Christmas cheer as they beat the Texans 19-16 to rack up their 10th consecutive home win against Houston.

This moved the colts to 2-13 still clear favourites for the 1st chance at Andrew Luck in the draft, while the Terxans who have a few injury problems themselves dropped to 10-5 and look to be in trouble despite having secured a post season place.  Their chances of a 1st round bye now look to have gone and with the probability of facing either Pittsburgh or the Ravens looming their first post ever season appearance looks like being a one game gig.

 

Anyway the game was nothing to write home about with the Tesans having to run the ball and Indy having to pass as expected and most of the points came from field goals. The game was won when Reggie Wayne caught a one yard pass from Dan Orlovsky with 19 seconds left.

49ers Stop the Run again against Pittsburgh

San Fransisco broke their own record for stopping rushing TDs on Monday night as they beat the Steelers 20-3. Even the lights going out couldn’t spoil the 49ers night as they moved to 11-3 to keep their hopes of home field advantage alive going into the playoffs.

The game will be most remembered for their defense which once again prevented a rushing TD meaning they have not conceeded on through their 1st 14 games. This broke their own record of two which they achieved in both 1996 and 1997.

The Steelers dropped to 10-4 and now trail Baltimore in the AFC North, however they are assured of a Wild Card place at least and will be a different proposition with James Harrison back in the team and when Ben Roethlisberger is fit again.

Thursday Night Football Jags at Atlanta

Both Jacksonville and Atlanta are comming into this game after good wins, with both coming from behind. Then Jags were 14-0 down at one stage, before Maurice Jones-Drew got to work and his 4 TDs helped them to a season best 41-14 win. Atlanta also showed great battling qualities to  come from 23-7 down against the Panthers scoring 24 unanswered second half points to run out 31-23 winners. Given the overall form of the two teams though this should be a fairly easy Atlanta win, and despite the Jaguars being able to shut down the passing game pretty well they will also have to stop Michael Turner on the ground and we cant see this happening. A further problem for  Jacksonville is that they are not particularly endowed with receivers and rely on their running game, which could stutter against the Falcons much improved defense so points could be scarce.

Overall we dont see a lot of points in this one brobably below 30 total and we expect Atlanta to put themselves into pole position for a Wild Card with a 10-14 point win.

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2 Washington Redskins – QB Robert Griffin III

3 Minnesota Vikings – OT Matt Kallil

4 Cleveland Browns – RB Trent Richardson

5 Tampa Bay WR Justin Blackmon

6 St Louis Rams OT Riley Reiff

7 Jacksonville Jaguars – WR Michael Floyd

8 Miami Dolphins – CB Morris Claiborne

9 Carolina Panthers- DT Fletcher Cox

10 Buffalo Bills DE Quinton Coples

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